Business confidence volatility is unhealthy for economic growth
Guest post by Sober Look.
The ISI Group combined four US regional Fed indices with Markit Manufacturing PMI to create a comprehensive US manufacturing index (chart below). A pattern of growth starts followed by fairly sharp corrections emerges. Some have speculated that this volatility, at least in part, can be explained by the Eurozone uncertainty flare-ups: Greece (2010), Italy (2011), Spain (2012). The pattern also exists in the economic surprise indices (see post-1 and post-2).
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Merde!
French government ministers have reacted angrily to the front cover of the latest issue of the Economist magazine’s latest front cover – which features a bundle of French baguettes with a lighted fuse, under the headline “The time-bomb at the heart of Europe“. The special report warned that the dire state of the French economy – with its high unemployment, lack of competitiveness, dying industry and high public spending – could be the next biggest threat to the eurozone, dwarfing the problems of Greece or Spain.
The magazine warned François Hollande’s reforms did not go far enough to address the country’s economic woes and if these were not resolved, France could jeopardise the future of the euro. (The Telegraph).
Find the French video below.
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