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Bullion

Precious Metals Rally

Guest post by Jessie.

“You can fool some of the people all of the time, and all of the people some of the time, but you can’t fool all of the people all of the time.”

Abraham Lincoln

The precious metals had an exceptional rally today,  given that it was in the face of another sharp decline in the equity markets.  This is constructive for the bullish case.

I have closed out the ‘short stocks’ portion of my stocks-bullion hedged trade today. There may be more downside ahead for equities, but it looks to be a bit overdone, at least in the short term.   I also took some of the bullion positions down as I had taken it to a maximum on that big decline shortly before the US Presidential election.  Now it is at a more comfortable ‘running’ level.  As always, this is with regard to my ‘trading positions’ as I do not touch or even look at my long term holdings.

Gold has moved very nicely through the resistance around 1720 and ‘stuck a close’ for today over 1730. We *might* see a test of that resistance at 1720, which is now support below the current price. But if this is a handle in a cup-and-handle formation, then that does not matter, and it is playing out very well.  However a clear break above 1800 is key.

The central banks are printing money to rescue the Western banking system. There is an enormous macro event taking place in the global currency as the US dollar reserve currency agreement, in place since World War II, has been changing for at least the past ten or more years, first slowly but soon with increasing speed.

Very few people understand what is happening, even amongst economists. Those who stand against this sort of change will find themselves swimming against a rather powerful secular tide.  There is nothing cyclical about this financial crisis or the economic ills that have accompanied it in the conventional economic sense, unless one wishes to start looking at very long, generational cycles of human wickedness and folly.

Charts below.

Why to they want to see their US Gold

We have all been reassured that the German Gold is in safe hands, at least judging by the shiny pictures presented. Here is Spiegel’s take on Germany’s golden bars.

For decades, almost half of Germany’s gold has been stored deep below the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Now, with the euro crisis swirling, German politicians are asking their central bankers to take stock of the reserves. Some even say that the gold should be shipped home.

Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann wanted to personally convince Peter Gauweiler that the German gold was still where it should be. Early this summer, the head of Germany’s central bank took the obstinate politician from the conservative Christian Social Union (CSU), a party that is a member of the government coalition in Berlin, and a number of his colleagues into the Bundesbank’s inner sanctum: the gold vault.

There, 6,000 gold bars are stacked on industrial-strength shelves in a purpose-built building in Frankfurt. An additional 76,000 bars of bullion are stored in four safe boxes, in sealed containers.

But even this personal inspection wasn’t enough to reassure the visiting member of parliament — on the contrary: “The Bundesbank monitors its domestic gold in an exemplary fashion,” Gauweiler says, “and this makes it all the more incomprehensible that the bank doesn’t look after its reserves abroad.”

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