The Trader has been covering the Spanish economy over the past year. Our readers know we have been extremely bearish on the outlook for the Spanish economy and the stock market. We won’t go on about the state of the Spanish economy here, but we would like to provide objectivity on majority of the topics covered on our site. Therefore, we provide you Banco de Espana’s latest presentation on the Spanish economy, banking sector and much more. Don’t forget it is the “Banco de Espana”…
Full amusing reading here.
Super Mario has been in the office for a while now, but what has the ECB actually accomplished since he joined, except the mighty LTRO? Yes, the LTRO was a great liquidity injection, where Spanish banks have been buying Spanish bonds. This is just like moving money from the left to the right pocket, with leverage….With the ECB balance sheet having expanded aggressively, we should be asking ourselves; are they in control of the situation? From Macrobusiness.
Overnight the president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, gave a speech to the Hearing at the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs of the European Parliament. The speech was not particularly out of line with what Mr Draghi usually says, such as:
Available indicators for the first quarter of 2012 broadly confirm a stabilisation in economic activity at a low level. Latest developments in survey data are mixed, highlighting prevailing uncertainty. Looking ahead, growth should be supported by foreign demand, the very low short-term interest rates as well as our non-standard measures. At the same time, downside risks relate in particular to a renewed intensification of tensions in euro area sovereign debt markets and their potential spillover to the real economy. Further increases in commodity prices may also hamper economic activity.
This is the same speech lead-in we have been hearing since Mario Draghi took over the helm of the ECB from Jean-Claude Trichet. Given recent PMI data much of this statements appears to be completely disconnected from the reality of what is happening in Europe, but this isn’t the first time I have noted Mr Draghi’s apparent delusion.
The French elections are approaching fast. While the main focus has been on Greece, Italy and SPain, let’s review some facts on France. From Scott Barber of Reuters.
The results of this past weekend’s first round of voting in the French presidential elections may have delivered a warning that the close alliance between France and Germany on strategies for tackling and containing the eurozone crisis may be approaching an end. For the last few years, the team of German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Nicolas Sarkozy has been so much in sync that they have become known to all as “Merkozy”. But in first-round voting, Sarkozy became the first French president in half a century to fail to emerge as leader, ceding pride of place to Socialist rival Francois Hollande.
Now the two men will square off in a runoff election scheduled to take place May 6, and it is the one-third of French voters who cast ballots in favor of other parties – including the National Front candidate on the extreme right, Martine Le Pen – who hold the balance of power. To understand the impact of these voters on the outcome, see the interactive graphic, below, which enables you to calculate how many voters who supported candidates that didn’t make it through to the run-off now need to switch their allegiance to Sarkozy in order for him to cling on to his job.
Unfortunately, Apple won’t save Europe. The Spanish market is once again showing very weak action, followed by the Italian MIB.
European charts below.
Markets have been cheering Apple, and no news regarding the European situation is seen as good news. With one stock dictating the world markets, one should probably be cautious regarding the overall market. Meanwhile, the Spanish agony persists. Via El Pais.
Villages of the damned. (austerity hits the man).
Guest post by Azizonomics.
Sorry, no. I am being sarcastic.
The U.K. economy shrank in the first quarter as construction output slumped, pushing Britain into its first double-dip recession since the 1970s and raising pressure on officials to salvage the recovery.
Last month I described Britain’s problems: GDP levels have never recovered to pre-crisis levels, the unemployment rate continues to climb from post-crisis levels, government debt level continue to climb, inflation levels are elevated, and all of these metrics are somehow worse than the situation in America.
And now Britain is back in recession.