Biderman on QE, market pops and some more.
The US stock market is now up about 16% since early June when the Fed Wire, also known as Wall Street Journal Reporter John Hilsenrath, pre announced the fourth Fed easing. In order to answer the question how much more in higher stock prices can we expect from the current Fed easing, let us look at what happened after prior Fed easing. The first Fed easing was announced March 2009, and stocks soared 50% through April 2010 before correcting 20%. To be clear, by stocks I mean the S&P 500. Then in August 2010, when the second Fed easing was preannounced stocks jumped 40% up until April 2011 before another 20% correction. Then in September 2011 after the third easing was announced stocked popped 30% peaking in April of this year, but dropped only 11% before fourth easing was preannounced in June.