Penny Wise and Euro Foolish
Great Market summary, by one of few “free” thinkers, Mr Hussman of Hussman Funds.
Among the effects of the recent and now renewed credit strains in the global economy is that investors have lost touch with relative magnitudes. For example, a billion dollars effectively represents about $3.20 for every adult and child in the U.S., while a trillion dollars represents about $3,200 dollars per person. From our standpoint, among the most important research coordination that government provides comes from the National Institutes of Health (NIH), which funds basic medical research in cancer, diabetes, multiple sclerosis, Alzheimer’s, autism, and other conditions, and where the total annual budget is about $31 billion annually (roughly $100 per American). Add in just over $7 billion in research through the National Science Foundation, and about $120 per citizen a year is spent by the government on essential medical and non-military scientific research through these agencies. These figures pale in comparison to the amounts that are increasingly demanded in order to make bondholders whole on their voluntary, bad investments. The Federal Reserve provided an amount equal to the entire NIH budget simply to backstop the rescue of Bear Stearns, which allowed Bear Stearns bondholders to receive 100 cents on the dollar, plus interest. In return, the Fed got questionable assets that it pouched into a shell company called “Maiden Lane,” which were later reported to have “underperformed.”
Incomprehensibly large bailout figures now get tossed around unexamined in the wake of the 2008-2009 crisis (blessed, of course, by Wall Street), while funding toward NIH, NSF and other essential purposes has been increasingly squeezed. At the urging of Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, Europe has been encouraged to follow the “big bazooka” approach to the banking system. That global fiscal policy is forced into austere spending cuts for research, education, and social services as a result of financial recklessness, but we’ve become conditioned not to blink, much less wince, at gargantuan bailout figures to defend the bloated financial institutions that made bad investments at 20- 30- and 40-to-1 leverage, is Timothy Geithner’s triumph and humanity’s collective loss.
Full must read article, click here.
I believed Mr. Hussman last year. He was wrong! Lost money! No longer pay any attention to Mr. Hussman!
With all due respect, the only analysis that matters is the reading of current market action. All other analysis serves to create directional biases which cloud one’s judgement to see what is truly happening in markets.
To: macrotrader
Responding to “the only analysis that matters is the reading of current market action” if you were responding to my comment: I was current last year every day for about 6 months reading Mr. Hussman’s analysis. Every day he was saying the market was going down when it went up. I was very current. Every day! I bought TZA because Mr. Hussman said the market was going down. If I had changed one letter “TNA from TZA” I would have made a killing. Sorry, but I will go elsewhere. As… I think many of his investors have also gone elsewhere.