Oroligheterna i Syrien fortsätter. Efter fredagens bön bröt nya skottlossningar. Kommer det oljeavsaknade Syrien ändå få Usa till att reagera?
“Syria’s regime faces a dilemma. Al Assad cannot let up on the security crackdown and allow protests when the demonstrations have begun to take on such an anti-regime tone. However, if he decides to harden the crackdowns, all the concessions he has made thus far will be nullified in the eyes of the protesters, who will likely consider disingenuous any future pledges of reform from the regime. Al Assad has maintained the loyalty of all pillars of support within the Syrian state thus far, and the demonstrations themselves have yet to become large enough to pose an immediate threat to his position, but the Alawite-Sunni power relationship in the country could explode if the situation were to escalate. If that were to happen, the writ of the state would likely weaken considerably inside Syria’s borders, which would have a destabilizing effect beyond them as well.”
Read more: Protests Spread in Syria | STRATFOR